--- title: "Every 2023 Women’s Elimination Chamber Participant’s Chance Of Winning Ranked" canonical: "https://wrestletalk.com/features/ranking-chance-winning-womens-elimination-chamber/" type: "post" language: "en-US" author: "Ryan Coogan" section: "Features" published: "2023-02-09T21:55:55Z" modified: "2023-02-09T21:55:55Z" --- # Every 2023 Women’s Elimination Chamber Participant’s Chance Of Winning Ranked It’s almost time for the women’s Elimination Chamber: the match that performs exactly the same function as the women’s Royal Rumble (determining the contender for one of the company’s top women’s titles at WrestleMania) but generates a third of the interest because there’s no chance of Mickie James suddenly turning up halfway through. This year’s offering sees six women compete for a chance to face Bianca Belair for her WWE Raw Women’s Championship, and possibly end a pretty dominant run with the belt from one of the company’s top faces. While Rhea Ripley seemed a lock for the Rumble (though to be fair, we all sort of thought she’d be facing Bianca when she won, so maybe it wasn’t that much of a lock), nobody can really say with any certainty who will emerge victorious when it comes to Hell In A Cell, Inside Another Cell. So with that in mind, let’s rank each contender from least-to-most likely to win Elimination Chamber, and score a shot at the title: ## Natalya ![](https://cdn.wrestletalk.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Natalya-February-4.jpg) I was actually tempted to put Natalya a bit further up the list, based purely on the fact that this year’s Elimination Chamber will be taking place in Montreal and she’s a Hart. Unfortunately I had to place her last based on two very important factors: number one, Sami Zayn is going to get the big hometime babyface pop, meaning that a Natalya win would draw focus; and number two, she’s Natalya. That sounded meaner than it did in my head. I actually think Natalya will put in a pretty good showing; this isn’t a list of the order in which I think people will be eliminated. She’ll probably put in a good innings, and maybe even make it to the final two. There’s a reason she’s in the match in the first place, after all – Natalya’s a bit of a workhorse. But with WrestleMania 39 shaping up to be a) a stacked card and b) a good place for Bianca to bow out of the Raw title scene for a while, I just don’t see Natalya being the one to end her run. ## Carmella ![](https://cdn.wrestletalk.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/carmella-february-7-a.jpg) Like Natalya, Carmella doesn’t exactly scream “opening match of WrestleMania” to me in the way that some of these other contenders do. She places a little higher on the list though, mostly because she’s been repackaged (de-packaged?) recently, returning to her old “your fun aunt at a hip hop fitness class” gimmick on a recent episode of SmackDown. That being said, I’m pretty sure she’s mostly in this match so that Corey Graves can make a couple of borderline-NSFW declarations about how hot his wife is and plug their reality show (is that a thing?). Which, honestly, isn’t a bad way to spend a pay-per-view. Get that money, ‘Mella. ## Nikki Cross ![](https://cdn.wrestletalk.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/nikki-cross-december-6-a.jpg) If anybody ever accuses me of being biased in these lists, I’ll just point them to the fact that I didn’t put Nikki Cross at number one. If this was a list of who I want to win the Chamber this year, you know Crazy Nikki would be right at the top. But alas, she seems destined for another, as recent vignettes have implied that WWE is setting her up for an angle with Candice LeRae and the remaining members of The Way. It’s a shame too, since WWE has done a pretty decent job of renewing interest in Cross ever since her ASH gimmick failed to really get off the ground. Not only that, but her 2021 Money In The Bank cash in (and subsequent Raw title run) mean that she’s already sort of had her big moment, and still needs time to build herself back up as a credible contender. Maybe next year, Nikki. ## Liv Morgan ![](https://cdn.wrestletalk.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/liv-morgan-november-5-a-1.jpg) Liv’s a tricky one, because out of everybody on this list she’s probably had the clearest character progression that would lend itself to an Elimination Chamber win. Ever since losing her SmackDown Women’s Championship to Ronda Rousey at Extreme Rules, Liv has really leaned into her new gimmick as a deranged, “extreme”-style wrestler who’ll do anything to win. While that normally would make her a lock, her booking hasn’t exactly backed that up, and she needs a little more time in the oven before she’s ready to get back in the title picture. Likewise, similarly to Nikki she’s had her (even more recent) run in the spotlight, and fans may be reluctant to give her another chance this soon. Assuming Lic keeps the gimmick up, and refines it a little, expect her to be in contention to win next year’s Chamber and finally get her (real) moment at ‘Mania 40. ## Raquel Rodriguez ![](https://cdn.wrestletalk.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/Raquel-Rodriguez-December-31.jpg) Speaking purely in kayfabe, Raquel has this on lock. She’s by far and away the most dominant contender to enter this year’s Chamber, and should have no trouble squashing the other competitors between her terrifying shoulder muscles. Even from a booking perspective a Raquel win would make sense; remember when she took Charlotte to the limit not that long ago? If this match was for a shot at Charlotte’s title for a rematch, I’d say double-R was a shoe in, but she just misses the top based on her relative inexperience, and the fact that her babyface persona isn’t quite convincing (she was a great heel in NXT). It’s a shame too, because a lady-hoss-off between her and Bianca could be the women’s equivalent of Gunther vs Sheamus, and I would very much like to see that. But in terms of sheer star power, there’s only one realistic winner… ## Asuka ![](https://cdn.wrestletalk.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Asuka-February-2-f.jpg) Both in and out of kayfabe, Asuka is the perfect choice to emerge victorious here. She was recently aligned with Bianca, so there’s some personal history there, and she’s recently returned to form with a deranged attitude and a terrifying juggalette makeover. In terms of drawing ability, Asuka is the biggest star in this match by a country mile; it makes perfect sense to pit her against Bianca to help generate maximum interest in the match at this year’s show of shows. I could definitely see Asuka putting in a very similar performance to the one Shayna Baszler did at the 2020 Elimination Chamber (albeit less difficult to sit through), tearing through the other competitors to reestablish herself as the once and future Empress of WWE. Expect a heroic babyface performance from Racquel towards the match’s finish, as she tries in vain to put the monster away. Does that mean she’ll beat Bianca at ‘Mania? It’s a difficult call, but I wouldn’t count her out. **Think you’re a wrestling mastermind? Well you can prove it by taking quizzes in [our brand new quiz section](https://wrestletalk.com/quizzes/)! Don’t forget to [tweet us](https://twitter.com/WrestleTalk_TV) your results!**