Today, I look at the betting trends leading up to WWE Extreme Rules.
Two things before we get into the odds for Extreme Rules: (1) Betting odds for WWE represent possible spoilers. While it is not a certainty, they are right more often than not. So if you don’t want to be spoiled, stop reading now! (2) A quick reminder of how American betting odds work in case you are used to another format:
A “favorite” is given a negative number. This is the amount of money that needs to be placed on that competitor to win $100. For example, if someone is a -300 favorite, you need to bet $300 to potentially win $100. If you win the bet, you get $400 back (your original $300 and your $100 profit). If you lose the bet, you lose your $300. -300 = 1/3 in fractional odds.
An “underdog” is given a positive number. This is the amount of money you will WIN so long as you bet $100. For example, if someone is a +450 underdog, you need to bet $100 to potentially win $450. If you win the bet, you get $550 back (your original $100 and your $450 profit). If you lose the bet, you lose your $100. +450 = 9/2 in fractional odds.
June 24th (21 Days Before Event)
WWE Raw Women’s Championship Match: Alexa Bliss (-350) vs. Nia Jax (+250)
WWE Championship Match: AJ Styles (-200) vs. Rusev (+150)
Kevin’s Thoughts: The opening lines for WWE Extreme Rules show a closer than expected WWE Championship match. AJ Styles has opened as a -200 favorite over Rusev to retain the WWE Championship which seems pretty low to me. -200 has implied odds of 66.66%. If I were betting, I’d have to lock this in here based on what we know about plans into the summer. Alexa Bliss has opened up as a strong favorite over Nia Jax. Ronda Rousey is coming for Alexa 2 days after Extreme Rules, so it makes sense Alexa will retain. However, it would not shock me for Nia to win the match by DQ. However, there’s no promise some sort of no-DQ won’t be added to the match before then so I wouldn’t touch anything here now.
Kevin’s Best Bet: AJ Styles (-200)
NEXT: June 29th (16 Days Before Event)